Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 20–24°C lows for Chengdu on September 4, driven by official forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under high-pressure control, with overnight radiative cooling expected to reach 21–23°C amid light winds and moderate humidity in the Sichuan Basin. Recent model runs indicate minimal cloud cover overnight, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32°C, while any scattered western mountain showers could slightly elevate valley minima through increased moisture. Historical September baselines place typical lows near 20–21°C, with current conditions trending slightly warmer due to delayed monsoon retreat. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and local station data tonight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
25°C 98%
26°C 98%
20°C 96%
19°C or below 95%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
95%
20°C
96%
21°C
50%
22°C
51%
23°C
92%
24°C
94%
25°C
98%
26°C
98%
27°C
94%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
93%
25°C 98%
26°C 98%
20°C 96%
19°C or below 95%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
95%
20°C
$0 KL.
96%
21°C
$0 KL.
50%
22°C
$0 KL.
51%
23°C
$0 KL.
92%
24°C
$0 KL.
94%
25°C
$0 KL.
98%
26°C
$0 KL.
98%
27°C
$0 KL.
94%
28°C
$0 KL.
7%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 20–24°C lows for Chengdu on September 4, driven by official forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under high-pressure control, with overnight radiative cooling expected to reach 21–23°C amid light winds and moderate humidity in the Sichuan Basin. Recent model runs indicate minimal cloud cover overnight, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32°C, while any scattered western mountain showers could slightly elevate valley minima through increased moisture. Historical September baselines place typical lows near 20–21°C, with current conditions trending slightly warmer due to delayed monsoon retreat. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and local station data tonight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 20–24°C lows for Chengdu on September 4, driven by official forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under high-pressure control, with overnight radiative cooling expected to reach 21–23°C amid light winds and moderate humidity in the Sichuan Basin. Recent model runs indicate minimal cloud cover overnight, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32°C, while any scattered western mountain showers could slightly elevate valley minima through increased moisture. Historical September baselines place typical lows near 20–21°C, with current conditions trending slightly warmer due to delayed monsoon retreat. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and local station data tonight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects tight clustering around 20–24°C lows for Chengdu on September 4, driven by official forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under high-pressure control, with overnight radiative cooling expected to reach 21–23°C amid light winds and moderate humidity in the Sichuan Basin. Recent model runs indicate minimal cloud cover overnight, supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32°C, while any scattered western mountain showers could slightly elevate valley minima through increased moisture. Historical September baselines place typical lows near 20–21°C, with current conditions trending slightly warmer due to delayed monsoon retreat. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and local station data tonight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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