**Forecast models from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Turkish meteorological guidance indicate a sunny, high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime heating.** Clear skies and light winds favor peak temperatures clustering near 29–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), though some model outputs and station-specific guidance show 27–28 °C as plausible outcomes depending on exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Recent 48-hour updates have shown little shift in the 500 hPa ridge or surface pressure field, keeping implied probabilities anchored around the 26–28 °C range while assigning only modest weight to 29 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading model solutions and historical early-September variability, where daily maxima commonly fall between 26–31 °C. The next major model cycles and any updated Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
25°C 34%
26°C 32%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
34%
26°C
32%
27°C
44%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
25°C 34%
26°C 32%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
23°C
$0 KL.
5%
24°C
$0 KL.
2%
25°C
$0 KL.
34%
26°C
$0 KL.
32%
27°C
$13 KL.
44%
28°C
$11 KL.
28%
29°C
$0 KL.
7%
30°C
$0 KL.
6%
31°C
$0 KL.
5%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Turkish meteorological guidance indicate a sunny, high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime heating.** Clear skies and light winds favor peak temperatures clustering near 29–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), though some model outputs and station-specific guidance show 27–28 °C as plausible outcomes depending on exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Recent 48-hour updates have shown little shift in the 500 hPa ridge or surface pressure field, keeping implied probabilities anchored around the 26–28 °C range while assigning only modest weight to 29 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading model solutions and historical early-September variability, where daily maxima commonly fall between 26–31 °C. The next major model cycles and any updated Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Turkish meteorological guidance indicate a sunny, high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime heating.** Clear skies and light winds favor peak temperatures clustering near 29–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), though some model outputs and station-specific guidance show 27–28 °C as plausible outcomes depending on exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Recent 48-hour updates have shown little shift in the 500 hPa ridge or surface pressure field, keeping implied probabilities anchored around the 26–28 °C range while assigning only modest weight to 29 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading model solutions and historical early-September variability, where daily maxima commonly fall between 26–31 °C. The next major model cycles and any updated Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local Turkish meteorological guidance indicate a sunny, high-pressure pattern over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, with northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime heating.** Clear skies and light winds favor peak temperatures clustering near 29–30 °C (roughly 84–86 °F), though some model outputs and station-specific guidance show 27–28 °C as plausible outcomes depending on exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Recent 48-hour updates have shown little shift in the 500 hPa ridge or surface pressure field, keeping implied probabilities anchored around the 26–28 °C range while assigning only modest weight to 29 °C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between leading model solutions and historical early-September variability, where daily maxima commonly fall between 26–31 °C. The next major model cycles and any updated Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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