Recent forecasts indicate a moderating Atlantic air mass and associated showers will cap Munich's September 5 high after warmer conditions on the 4th, with official guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 22–24 °C. DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs show daytime peaks around 23 °C amid increasing cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with the 21.4 °C climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on 24 °C versus 23 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of rain-cooled periods and boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes would require stronger or earlier frontal passage than currently projected. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 5?
24°C 37%
23°C 31%
25°C 20%
26°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
31%
24°C
37%
25°C
19%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
7%
24°C 37%
23°C 31%
25°C 20%
26°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
19°C
$0 KL.
3%
20°C
$0 KL.
6%
21°C
$214 KL.
11%
22°C
$12 KL.
13%
23°C
$18 KL.
31%
24°C
$0 KL.
37%
25°C
$12 KL.
19%
26°C
$0 KL.
13%
27°C
$0 KL.
7%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a moderating Atlantic air mass and associated showers will cap Munich's September 5 high after warmer conditions on the 4th, with official guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 22–24 °C. DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs show daytime peaks around 23 °C amid increasing cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with the 21.4 °C climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on 24 °C versus 23 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of rain-cooled periods and boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes would require stronger or earlier frontal passage than currently projected. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$244Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a moderating Atlantic air mass and associated showers will cap Munich's September 5 high after warmer conditions on the 4th, with official guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 22–24 °C. DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs show daytime peaks around 23 °C amid increasing cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with the 21.4 °C climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on 24 °C versus 23 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of rain-cooled periods and boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes would require stronger or earlier frontal passage than currently projected. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$244Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a moderating Atlantic air mass and associated showers will cap Munich's September 5 high after warmer conditions on the 4th, with official guidance and ensemble models converging on a maximum near 22–24 °C. DWD, ECMWF, and GFS runs show daytime peaks around 23 °C amid increasing cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with the 21.4 °C climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on 24 °C versus 23 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing of rain-cooled periods and boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes would require stronger or earlier frontal passage than currently projected. Updated model runs and midday observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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