Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a 24–26°C maximum for Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak readings most likely between 13:00–16:00 local time. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term early-September climatological average of ~22°C while remaining well below late-summer heatwave thresholds. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, an uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution narrow and centered on these values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 3?
25°C 36%
26°C 29%
24°C 19%
23°C 14%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
29%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 29%
24°C 19%
23°C 14%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
29%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicates a 24–26°C maximum for Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak readings most likely between 13:00–16:00 local time. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term early-September climatological average of ~22°C while remaining well below late-summer heatwave thresholds. Trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C because small differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, an uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution narrow and centered on these values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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