**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including global models and regional outlooks, indicate a high near 22–23°C for Munich on September 1, 2026, consistent with the long-term average of 22.2°C.** Westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions following showers on August 31 support modest daytime warming without strong high-pressure subsidence or southerly advection that would push readings higher. Recent model consensus shows limited potential for 25°C+ unless ridging strengthens unexpectedly, which aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (53%) and 23°C (20.5%) reflecting modest upside bias from traders monitoring late-summer patterns. Key thresholds for market resolution will depend on the official daily maximum reported by the German Weather Service (DWD), with next model updates and any rapid changes in steering flow able to shift probabilities before the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 1?
24°C 45%
23°C 30%
22°C 19%
25°C 11%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
30%
24°C
45%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 30%
22°C 19%
25°C 11%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
30%
24°C
45%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including global models and regional outlooks, indicate a high near 22–23°C for Munich on September 1, 2026, consistent with the long-term average of 22.2°C.** Westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions following showers on August 31 support modest daytime warming without strong high-pressure subsidence or southerly advection that would push readings higher. Recent model consensus shows limited potential for 25°C+ unless ridging strengthens unexpectedly, which aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (53%) and 23°C (20.5%) reflecting modest upside bias from traders monitoring late-summer patterns. Key thresholds for market resolution will depend on the official daily maximum reported by the German Weather Service (DWD), with next model updates and any rapid changes in steering flow able to shift probabilities before the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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