Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a brief warm spell over southern England on September 6, driven by a northward-shifted jet stream and building high pressure that favors southerly airflow, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London. This aligns with current trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, following a record-hot summer whose mean temperature was rendered far more likely by anthropogenic climate change. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest chances for brief excursions above 28°C or below 24°C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic fronts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects critical to the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on September 6?
Highest temperature in London on September 6?
26°C 42%
25°C 27%
27°C 20%
24°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
27%
26°C
42%
27°C
20%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 27%
27°C 20%
24°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$136 KL.
1%
23°C
$0 KL.
3%
24°C
$45 KL.
8%
25°C
$122 KL.
27%
26°C
$142 KL.
42%
27°C
$9 KL.
20%
28°C
$5 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
7%
30°C
$0 KL.
1%
31°C
$0 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a brief warm spell over southern England on September 6, driven by a northward-shifted jet stream and building high pressure that favors southerly airflow, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London. This aligns with current trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, following a record-hot summer whose mean temperature was rendered far more likely by anthropogenic climate change. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest chances for brief excursions above 28°C or below 24°C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic fronts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects critical to the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$465Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a brief warm spell over southern England on September 6, driven by a northward-shifted jet stream and building high pressure that favors southerly airflow, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London. This aligns with current trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, following a record-hot summer whose mean temperature was rendered far more likely by anthropogenic climate change. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest chances for brief excursions above 28°C or below 24°C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic fronts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects critical to the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$465Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a brief warm spell over southern England on September 6, driven by a northward-shifted jet stream and building high pressure that favors southerly airflow, positioning 25–27°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London. This aligns with current trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, following a record-hot summer whose mean temperature was rendered far more likely by anthropogenic climate change. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest chances for brief excursions above 28°C or below 24°C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of any Atlantic fronts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects critical to the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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