Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, indicate scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on September 10, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position 31°C as the most probable daily maximum. Persistent high humidity near 70-80 percent, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer subtropical moisture patterns support this range, with 30-32°C outcomes collectively capturing over 80 percent of trader-implied probability. These forecasts reflect the latest model consensus rather than clear-sky conditions that could push temperatures higher. Updated runs from regional agencies ahead of local sunrise will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
31°C 38%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
38%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
26°C or below
$663 KL.
<1%
27°C
$704 KL.
<1%
28°C
$849 KL.
<1%
29°C
$289 KL.
5%
30°C
$2,157 KL.
20%
31°C
$810 KL.
38%
32°C
$1,501 KL.
25%
33°C
$312 KL.
9%
34°C
$657 KL.
4%
35°C
$225 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$183 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, indicate scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on September 10, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position 31°C as the most probable daily maximum. Persistent high humidity near 70-80 percent, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer subtropical moisture patterns support this range, with 30-32°C outcomes collectively capturing over 80 percent of trader-implied probability. These forecasts reflect the latest model consensus rather than clear-sky conditions that could push temperatures higher. Updated runs from regional agencies ahead of local sunrise will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,349Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, indicate scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on September 10, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position 31°C as the most probable daily maximum. Persistent high humidity near 70-80 percent, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer subtropical moisture patterns support this range, with 30-32°C outcomes collectively capturing over 80 percent of trader-implied probability. These forecasts reflect the latest model consensus rather than clear-sky conditions that could push temperatures higher. Updated runs from regional agencies ahead of local sunrise will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,349Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, indicate scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on September 10, which are expected to limit daytime heating and position 31°C as the most probable daily maximum. Persistent high humidity near 70-80 percent, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer subtropical moisture patterns support this range, with 30-32°C outcomes collectively capturing over 80 percent of trader-implied probability. These forecasts reflect the latest model consensus rather than clear-sky conditions that could push temperatures higher. Updated runs from regional agencies ahead of local sunrise will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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