**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is the dominant near-term driver moderating daytime temperatures in Manila.** Scattered to widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms, with moderate-to-heavy rainfall expected through September 11 per PAGASA advisories, limit solar insolation and surface heating. Official outlooks show highs typically ranging 28–30 °C under these conditions, consistent with historical September wet-season norms around 31 °C when rain frequency rises. Light-to-moderate southwesterly winds and high humidity further suppress peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing diurnal range. Forecast model consensus points to variable thunderstorm timing as the key uncertainty separating 29–31 °C outcomes; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 31–32 °C, while sustained convection favors the lower end. Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 11?
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
24%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
9%
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$205 KL.
<1%
25°C
$267 KL.
1%
26°C
$0 KL.
3%
27°C
$32 KL.
6%
28°C
$20 KL.
8%
29°C
$0 KL.
16%
30°C
$16 KL.
29%
31°C
$7 KL.
24%
32°C
$0 KL.
15%
33°C
$0 KL.
9%
34°C or higher
$0 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is the dominant near-term driver moderating daytime temperatures in Manila.** Scattered to widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms, with moderate-to-heavy rainfall expected through September 11 per PAGASA advisories, limit solar insolation and surface heating. Official outlooks show highs typically ranging 28–30 °C under these conditions, consistent with historical September wet-season norms around 31 °C when rain frequency rises. Light-to-moderate southwesterly winds and high humidity further suppress peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing diurnal range. Forecast model consensus points to variable thunderstorm timing as the key uncertainty separating 29–31 °C outcomes; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 31–32 °C, while sustained convection favors the lower end. Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$545Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is the dominant near-term driver moderating daytime temperatures in Manila.** Scattered to widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms, with moderate-to-heavy rainfall expected through September 11 per PAGASA advisories, limit solar insolation and surface heating. Official outlooks show highs typically ranging 28–30 °C under these conditions, consistent with historical September wet-season norms around 31 °C when rain frequency rises. Light-to-moderate southwesterly winds and high humidity further suppress peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing diurnal range. Forecast model consensus points to variable thunderstorm timing as the key uncertainty separating 29–31 °C outcomes; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 31–32 °C, while sustained convection favors the lower end. Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$545Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon is the dominant near-term driver moderating daytime temperatures in Manila.** Scattered to widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms, with moderate-to-heavy rainfall expected through September 11 per PAGASA advisories, limit solar insolation and surface heating. Official outlooks show highs typically ranging 28–30 °C under these conditions, consistent with historical September wet-season norms around 31 °C when rain frequency rises. Light-to-moderate southwesterly winds and high humidity further suppress peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing diurnal range. Forecast model consensus points to variable thunderstorm timing as the key uncertainty separating 29–31 °C outcomes; clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 31–32 °C, while sustained convection favors the lower end. Updated PAGASA and global model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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