Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles, converge on a September 9 high of 25–26°C for Qingdao under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions limit daytime heating while the coastal setting and moderate humidity suppress extremes, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea. Recent observations from September 8 show a 28°C peak that is giving way to slightly cooler advection, tightening the range around the two leading outcomes. Market-implied odds weight 25°C highest because several high-resolution runs cluster there, while 26°C captures upside potential if cloud cover decreases; lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C+ reflect tail risks from model spread or wind shifts. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
25°C 43%
26°C 33%
24°C 17%
27°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C
43%
26°C
33%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 43%
26°C 33%
24°C 17%
27°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$349 KL.
<1%
20°C
$184 KL.
<1%
21°C
$307 KL.
<1%
22°C
$759 KL.
1%
23°C
$719 KL.
4%
24°C
$2,592 KL.
17%
25°C
$1,625 KL.
43%
26°C
$1,575 KL.
33%
27°C
$496 KL.
8%
28°C
$562 KL.
2%
29°C or higher
$456 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles, converge on a September 9 high of 25–26°C for Qingdao under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions limit daytime heating while the coastal setting and moderate humidity suppress extremes, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea. Recent observations from September 8 show a 28°C peak that is giving way to slightly cooler advection, tightening the range around the two leading outcomes. Market-implied odds weight 25°C highest because several high-resolution runs cluster there, while 26°C captures upside potential if cloud cover decreases; lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C+ reflect tail risks from model spread or wind shifts. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,625Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles, converge on a September 9 high of 25–26°C for Qingdao under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions limit daytime heating while the coastal setting and moderate humidity suppress extremes, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea. Recent observations from September 8 show a 28°C peak that is giving way to slightly cooler advection, tightening the range around the two leading outcomes. Market-implied odds weight 25°C highest because several high-resolution runs cluster there, while 26°C captures upside potential if cloud cover decreases; lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C+ reflect tail risks from model spread or wind shifts. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,625Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international ensembles, converge on a September 9 high of 25–26°C for Qingdao under partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds of 15–25 km/h. These conditions limit daytime heating while the coastal setting and moderate humidity suppress extremes, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea. Recent observations from September 8 show a 28°C peak that is giving way to slightly cooler advection, tightening the range around the two leading outcomes. Market-implied odds weight 25°C highest because several high-resolution runs cluster there, while 26°C captures upside potential if cloud cover decreases; lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C+ reflect tail risks from model spread or wind shifts. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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