Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, including those from Incheon International Airport, indicate a daytime high near 26°C for September 9 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s. This reflects cooler air advection behind a high-pressure system, following several days of 29–30°C peaks earlier in the week. Consensus across sources such as WeatherBug, Met Office, and local aviation TAFs centers on 25–27°C, with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity supporting limited diurnal warming. The market-implied 50% probability on 26°C aligns with this model agreement, while the spread to 25°C and 27°C captures remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud cover. Final resolution depends on the official Incheon station maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
26°C 50%
25°C 26%
27°C 17%
28°C 5%
$13,777 KL.
$13,777 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
17%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 26%
27°C 17%
28°C 5%
$13,777 KL.
$13,777 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
17%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, including those from Incheon International Airport, indicate a daytime high near 26°C for September 9 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s. This reflects cooler air advection behind a high-pressure system, following several days of 29–30°C peaks earlier in the week. Consensus across sources such as WeatherBug, Met Office, and local aviation TAFs centers on 25–27°C, with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity supporting limited diurnal warming. The market-implied 50% probability on 26°C aligns with this model agreement, while the spread to 25°C and 27°C captures remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud cover. Final resolution depends on the official Incheon station maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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