**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
28°C 73%
29°C 24%
30°C 6%
27°C <1%
$48,348 KL.
$48,348 KL.
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
73%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 73%
29°C 24%
30°C 6%
27°C <1%
$48,348 KL.
$48,348 KL.
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
$12,096 KL.
1%
27°C
$8,120 KL.
1%
28°C
$6,901 KL.
73%
29°C
$4,780 KL.
24%
30°C
$6,239 KL.
6%
31°C
$2,570 KL.
<1%
32°C
$3,036 KL.
<1%
33°C
$692 KL.
<1%
34°C
$1,297 KL.
<1%
35°C
$1,319 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,298 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,348Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$48,348Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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