**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 32–34°C as the most probable range for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (53%).** Official and ensemble guidance, including outputs consistent with NOAA-style and regional models, shows a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms and northeast winds of 4–6 m/s. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of 32.4°C, tempered by modest cloud cover and moisture that limit further warming. Today’s observed peaks of 33–35°C provide a near-term baseline, but tomorrow’s increased rain probability and slightly cooler boundary-layer air support the modest downward shift implied by the odds. Uncertainties remain around exact convective timing and local urban heat effects, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction, but no major model spread or anomalous steering pattern currently favors extremes outside 31–34°C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
33°C 54%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
22%
33°C
54%
34°C
21%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
$241 KL.
<1%
28°C
$460 KL.
1%
29°C
$141 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,144 KL.
1%
31°C
$365 KL.
3%
32°C
$594 KL.
22%
33°C
$1,236 KL.
54%
34°C
$1,790 KL.
21%
35°C
$1,242 KL.
2%
36°C
$254 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$228 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 32–34°C as the most probable range for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (53%).**
Official and ensemble guidance, including outputs consistent with NOAA-style and regional models, shows a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms and northeast winds of 4–6 m/s. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of 32.4°C, tempered by modest cloud cover and moisture that limit further warming. Today’s observed peaks of 33–35°C provide a near-term baseline, but tomorrow’s increased rain probability and slightly cooler boundary-layer air support the modest downward shift implied by the odds. Uncertainties remain around exact convective timing and local urban heat effects, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction, but no major model spread or anomalous steering pattern currently favors extremes outside 31–34°C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,694Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 32–34°C as the most probable range for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (53%).**
Official and ensemble guidance, including outputs consistent with NOAA-style and regional models, shows a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms and northeast winds of 4–6 m/s. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of 32.4°C, tempered by modest cloud cover and moisture that limit further warming. Today’s observed peaks of 33–35°C provide a near-term baseline, but tomorrow’s increased rain probability and slightly cooler boundary-layer air support the modest downward shift implied by the odds. Uncertainties remain around exact convective timing and local urban heat effects, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction, but no major model spread or anomalous steering pattern currently favors extremes outside 31–34°C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,694Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 32–34°C as the most probable range for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 33°C (53%).** Official and ensemble guidance, including outputs consistent with NOAA-style and regional models, shows a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms and northeast winds of 4–6 m/s. This reflects typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average high of 32.4°C, tempered by modest cloud cover and moisture that limit further warming. Today’s observed peaks of 33–35°C provide a near-term baseline, but tomorrow’s increased rain probability and slightly cooler boundary-layer air support the modest downward shift implied by the odds. Uncertainties remain around exact convective timing and local urban heat effects, which could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction, but no major model spread or anomalous steering pattern currently favors extremes outside 31–34°C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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