**Cooler northeasterly flow advecting drier air from higher latitudes is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 19–20°C minimum in Incheon on September 9.** Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus project an overnight low near 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies and 7–10 m/s winds, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C. Recent observations show lows easing from the mid-20s earlier in the week toward 18–20°C, consistent with the expanding influence of autumnal air masses and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate radiational cooling. Traders are weighing minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, which could shift the realized minimum by 1°C either way. The next KMA forecast update and real-time surface observations on September 9 will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
18°C 11%
21°C 4%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
32%
20°C
44%
21°C
10%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 44%
19°C 32%
18°C 11%
21°C 4%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
32%
20°C
44%
21°C
10%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler northeasterly flow advecting drier air from higher latitudes is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 19–20°C minimum in Incheon on September 9.** Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus project an overnight low near 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies and 7–10 m/s winds, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C. Recent observations show lows easing from the mid-20s earlier in the week toward 18–20°C, consistent with the expanding influence of autumnal air masses and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation that could moderate radiational cooling. Traders are weighing minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, which could shift the realized minimum by 1°C either way. The next KMA forecast update and real-time surface observations on September 9 will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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