Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 12, 2026, points to morning low clouds and fog clearing to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon highs centered in the low to mid-80s under moderate onshore flow. This pattern aligns with climatological September norms near 76°F but incorporates slightly warmer guidance from current runs, elevating implied probabilities for the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Onshore winds of 5-15 mph and marine influence are limiting further warming, while the absence of Santa Ana conditions or strong high pressure reduces upside risk above 85°F. Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, with traders monitoring any late-day model updates or real-time temperature trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 12?
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 37%
78-79°F 9%
84-85°F 4%
$24,202 KL.
$24,202 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 37%
78-79°F 9%
84-85°F 4%
$24,202 KL.
$24,202 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
$483 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$283 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$587 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$452 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$545 KL.
2%
78-79°F
$4,897 KL.
9%
80-81°F
$6,137 KL.
48%
82-83°F
$4,009 KL.
37%
84-85°F
$2,944 KL.
4%
86-87°F
$1,438 KL.
1%
88°F or higher
$2,427 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 12, 2026, points to morning low clouds and fog clearing to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon highs centered in the low to mid-80s under moderate onshore flow. This pattern aligns with climatological September norms near 76°F but incorporates slightly warmer guidance from current runs, elevating implied probabilities for the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Onshore winds of 5-15 mph and marine influence are limiting further warming, while the absence of Santa Ana conditions or strong high pressure reduces upside risk above 85°F. Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, with traders monitoring any late-day model updates or real-time temperature trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,202Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 12, 2026, points to morning low clouds and fog clearing to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon highs centered in the low to mid-80s under moderate onshore flow. This pattern aligns with climatological September norms near 76°F but incorporates slightly warmer guidance from current runs, elevating implied probabilities for the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Onshore winds of 5-15 mph and marine influence are limiting further warming, while the absence of Santa Ana conditions or strong high pressure reduces upside risk above 85°F. Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, with traders monitoring any late-day model updates or real-time temperature trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24,202Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 12, 2026, points to morning low clouds and fog clearing to mostly sunny skies, with afternoon highs centered in the low to mid-80s under moderate onshore flow. This pattern aligns with climatological September norms near 76°F but incorporates slightly warmer guidance from current runs, elevating implied probabilities for the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Onshore winds of 5-15 mph and marine influence are limiting further warming, while the absence of Santa Ana conditions or strong high pressure reduces upside risk above 85°F. Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, with traders monitoring any late-day model updates or real-time temperature trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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