Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity around 50%. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions influenced by coastal moderation and seasonal transition, where the historical average high hovers near 25–26°C. The market's strong 92% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and real-time data showing afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warming drivers. Clearer skies or localized heating could push readings to 28°C, though current forecasts indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
27°C 98%
28°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$25,426 KL.
$25,426 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
28°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$25,426 KL.
$25,426 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$54 KL.
<1%
22°C
$366 KL.
<1%
23°C
$558 KL.
<1%
24°C
$2,645 KL.
<1%
25°C
$3,726 KL.
<1%
26°C
$7,891 KL.
<1%
27°C
$4,493 KL.
98%
28°C
$2,354 KL.
3%
29°C
$981 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,571 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$788 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity around 50%. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions influenced by coastal moderation and seasonal transition, where the historical average high hovers near 25–26°C. The market's strong 92% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and real-time data showing afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warming drivers. Clearer skies or localized heating could push readings to 28°C, though current forecasts indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,426Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity around 50%. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions influenced by coastal moderation and seasonal transition, where the historical average high hovers near 25–26°C. The market's strong 92% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and real-time data showing afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warming drivers. Clearer skies or localized heating could push readings to 28°C, though current forecasts indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25,426Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity around 50%. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions influenced by coastal moderation and seasonal transition, where the historical average high hovers near 25–26°C. The market's strong 92% implied probability on 27°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and real-time data showing afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warming drivers. Clearer skies or localized heating could push readings to 28°C, though current forecasts indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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