Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Wuhan on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow typical of early autumn in the Yangtze valley. This consensus stems from recent model runs showing modest diurnal cooling after a cold-air surge earlier in the week, with no strong signals for either sharp radiational cooling or warm advection. The near-even market split between sub-15°C and 24°C-plus outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in ensemble spread and the potential for last-minute adjustments in China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF guidance before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
24°C or higher 97%
14°C or below 87%
17°C 39%
19°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
14°C or below
87%
15°C
23%
16°C
24%
17°C
39%
18°C
25%
19°C
28%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
17%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
97%
24°C or higher 97%
14°C or below 87%
17°C 39%
19°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
87%
15°C
$0 KL.
23%
16°C
$0 KL.
24%
17°C
$0 KL.
39%
18°C
$0 KL.
25%
19°C
$0 KL.
28%
20°C
$0 KL.
21%
21°C
$3 KL.
20%
22°C
$169 KL.
17%
23°C
$218 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Wuhan on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow typical of early autumn in the Yangtze valley. This consensus stems from recent model runs showing modest diurnal cooling after a cold-air surge earlier in the week, with no strong signals for either sharp radiational cooling or warm advection. The near-even market split between sub-15°C and 24°C-plus outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in ensemble spread and the potential for last-minute adjustments in China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF guidance before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$389Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Wuhan on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow typical of early autumn in the Yangtze valley. This consensus stems from recent model runs showing modest diurnal cooling after a cold-air surge earlier in the week, with no strong signals for either sharp radiational cooling or warm advection. The near-even market split between sub-15°C and 24°C-plus outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in ensemble spread and the potential for last-minute adjustments in China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF guidance before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$389Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Wuhan on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow typical of early autumn in the Yangtze valley. This consensus stems from recent model runs showing modest diurnal cooling after a cold-air surge earlier in the week, with no strong signals for either sharp radiational cooling or warm advection. The near-even market split between sub-15°C and 24°C-plus outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in ensemble spread and the potential for last-minute adjustments in China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF guidance before resolution. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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