Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?
26°C or higher 93%
16°C or below 88%
19°C 32%
18°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
16°C or below
88%
17°C
15%
18°C
30%
19°C
32%
20°C
22%
21°C
11%
22°C
9%
23°C
14%
24°C
30%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
93%
26°C or higher 93%
16°C or below 88%
19°C 32%
18°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
16°C or below
$20 KL.
88%
17°C
$0 KL.
15%
18°C
$0 KL.
30%
19°C
$0 KL.
32%
20°C
$0 KL.
22%
21°C
$0 KL.
11%
22°C
$0 KL.
9%
23°C
$0 KL.
14%
24°C
$25 KL.
30%
25°C
$61 KL.
30%
26°C or higher
$40 KL.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$146Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$146Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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