Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure dominating the region. This setup favors moderate diurnal heating with afternoon peaks hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market's tight 36.5% and 33% shares for those exact thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation or lingering morning cloud explain the uncertainty between 23°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and final model cycles ahead of resolution will likely refine the precise high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?
25°C 36%
24°C 33%
23°C 12%
26°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
33%
25°C
36%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 33%
23°C 12%
26°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$134 KL.
<1%
20°C
$100 KL.
1%
21°C
$221 KL.
2%
22°C
$238 KL.
4%
23°C
$1,225 KL.
12%
24°C
$880 KL.
33%
25°C
$2,469 KL.
36%
26°C
$1,338 KL.
10%
27°C
$429 KL.
2%
28°C
$177 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$326 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure dominating the region. This setup favors moderate diurnal heating with afternoon peaks hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market's tight 36.5% and 33% shares for those exact thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation or lingering morning cloud explain the uncertainty between 23°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and final model cycles ahead of resolution will likely refine the precise high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,537Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure dominating the region. This setup favors moderate diurnal heating with afternoon peaks hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market's tight 36.5% and 33% shares for those exact thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation or lingering morning cloud explain the uncertainty between 23°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and final model cycles ahead of resolution will likely refine the precise high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,537Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure dominating the region. This setup favors moderate diurnal heating with afternoon peaks hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market's tight 36.5% and 33% shares for those exact thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation or lingering morning cloud explain the uncertainty between 23°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and final model cycles ahead of resolution will likely refine the precise high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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