Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a maximum temperature of 37°C for Jeddah on September 12, aligning with the 87% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems over the Red Sea region, combined with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, support typical late-summer heat accumulation without significant cooling from sea breezes or convective activity. Observed midday readings near 36–37°C and dew points around 25–26°C further reinforce trader consensus around this level, while the low odds for 38°C or higher reflect limited potential for anomalous warming on this date. Updated numerical weather predictions later today could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 12?
37°C 95%
38°C 6%
40°C <1%
39°C <1%
$16,655 KL.
$16,655 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
95%
38°C
6%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 95%
38°C 6%
40°C <1%
39°C <1%
$16,655 KL.
$16,655 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
95%
38°C
6%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a maximum temperature of 37°C for Jeddah on September 12, aligning with the 87% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems over the Red Sea region, combined with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, support typical late-summer heat accumulation without significant cooling from sea breezes or convective activity. Observed midday readings near 36–37°C and dew points around 25–26°C further reinforce trader consensus around this level, while the low odds for 38°C or higher reflect limited potential for anomalous warming on this date. Updated numerical weather predictions later today could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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