Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Karachi around 37–38°C for September 22, aligning with late-monsoon transition patterns where reduced cloud cover and westerly winds allow greater solar heating. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions—including low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting heat retention—create room for upward revisions. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around peak values, with some runs suggesting potential for 40°C or above under clear, calm scenarios, while others cap nearer 35–36°C. This distribution underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities across mid-to-high outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of forecast variability and typical daily temperature ranges in the region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on September 22?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 22?
37°C 37%
38°C 37%
39°C 34%
35°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
23%
36°C
22%
37°C
37%
38°C
37%
39°C
34%
40°C
9%
41°C or higher
14%
37°C 37%
38°C 37%
39°C 34%
35°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
31°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
32°C
$4 KL.
1%
33°C
$0 KL.
4%
34°C
$0 KL.
3%
35°C
$0 KL.
23%
36°C
$0 KL.
22%
37°C
$0 KL.
37%
38°C
$0 KL.
37%
39°C
$0 KL.
34%
40°C
$0 KL.
9%
41°C or higher
$0 KL.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Karachi around 37–38°C for September 22, aligning with late-monsoon transition patterns where reduced cloud cover and westerly winds allow greater solar heating. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions—including low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting heat retention—create room for upward revisions. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around peak values, with some runs suggesting potential for 40°C or above under clear, calm scenarios, while others cap nearer 35–36°C. This distribution underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities across mid-to-high outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of forecast variability and typical daily temperature ranges in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Karachi around 37–38°C for September 22, aligning with late-monsoon transition patterns where reduced cloud cover and westerly winds allow greater solar heating. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions—including low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting heat retention—create room for upward revisions. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around peak values, with some runs suggesting potential for 40°C or above under clear, calm scenarios, while others cap nearer 35–36°C. This distribution underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities across mid-to-high outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of forecast variability and typical daily temperature ranges in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Karachi around 37–38°C for September 22, aligning with late-monsoon transition patterns where reduced cloud cover and westerly winds allow greater solar heating. Historical September averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions—including low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting heat retention—create room for upward revisions. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around peak values, with some runs suggesting potential for 40°C or above under clear, calm scenarios, while others cap nearer 35–36°C. This distribution underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities across mid-to-high outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of forecast variability and typical daily temperature ranges in the region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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