Official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–25°C in London on September 22, driven by high pressure, light southerly winds, and mostly sunny intervals that promote surface warming above seasonal norms of roughly 18–20°C. Ensemble data show tight clustering around these values with limited spread, though afternoon cloud development or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could trim the exact high by 1°C. Traders have priced this consensus into the 24°C and 25°C contracts, reflecting the narrow window for resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the final key inputs before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on September 22?
24°C 42%
25°C 27%
23°C 20%
22°C 7%
$11,716 KL.
$11,716 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
42%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
5%
24°C 42%
25°C 27%
23°C 20%
22°C 7%
$11,716 KL.
$11,716 KL.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
42%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–25°C in London on September 22, driven by high pressure, light southerly winds, and mostly sunny intervals that promote surface warming above seasonal norms of roughly 18–20°C. Ensemble data show tight clustering around these values with limited spread, though afternoon cloud development or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could trim the exact high by 1°C. Traders have priced this consensus into the 24°C and 25°C contracts, reflecting the narrow window for resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the final key inputs before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp