Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle's September 24 overnight low will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. This setup favors the market's leading 52-53°F bin at 47% implied probability, consistent with historical late-September climatology near 51.5°F and current runs showing minimal clear-sky potential for deeper drops. Traders appear to price modest uncertainty from model spread on exact cloud timing and marine-layer influence, keeping adjacent 50-51°F and 54-55°F outcomes in the 22-25% range while assigning lower weight to extremes below 48°F or above 58°F. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 24?
52-53°F 47%
64°F or higher 43%
45°F or below 40%
58-59°F 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
45°F or below
40%
46-47°F
21%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
47%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64°F or higher
43%
52-53°F 47%
64°F or higher 43%
45°F or below 40%
58-59°F 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
45°F or below
$10 KL.
40%
46-47°F
$0 KL.
21%
48-49°F
$0 KL.
21%
50-51°F
$0 KL.
23%
52-53°F
$28 KL.
47%
54-55°F
$0 KL.
26%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
21%
58-59°F
$10 KL.
39%
60-61°F
$10 KL.
39%
62-63°F
$10 KL.
39%
64°F or higher
$10 KL.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle's September 24 overnight low will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. This setup favors the market's leading 52-53°F bin at 47% implied probability, consistent with historical late-September climatology near 51.5°F and current runs showing minimal clear-sky potential for deeper drops. Traders appear to price modest uncertainty from model spread on exact cloud timing and marine-layer influence, keeping adjacent 50-51°F and 54-55°F outcomes in the 22-25% range while assigning lower weight to extremes below 48°F or above 58°F. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$78Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle's September 24 overnight low will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. This setup favors the market's leading 52-53°F bin at 47% implied probability, consistent with historical late-September climatology near 51.5°F and current runs showing minimal clear-sky potential for deeper drops. Traders appear to price modest uncertainty from model spread on exact cloud timing and marine-layer influence, keeping adjacent 50-51°F and 54-55°F outcomes in the 22-25% range while assigning lower weight to extremes below 48°F or above 58°F. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$78Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle's September 24 overnight low will most likely settle in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by increasing cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits radiational cooling ahead of a weak frontal passage. This setup favors the market's leading 52-53°F bin at 47% implied probability, consistent with historical late-September climatology near 51.5°F and current runs showing minimal clear-sky potential for deeper drops. Traders appear to price modest uncertainty from model spread on exact cloud timing and marine-layer influence, keeping adjacent 50-51°F and 54-55°F outcomes in the 22-25% range while assigning lower weight to extremes below 48°F or above 58°F. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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