Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle on September 24 points to an overcast day with a frontal passage, yielding afternoon highs near 59–62 °F amid light northerly winds and a 60–90 % chance of showers. This represents a notable cool-down from the prior two days’ mid- to upper-60 °F readings and sits several degrees below the late-September climatological normal of roughly 68 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–63 °F bins reflects modest forecast spread in the timing and intensity of cloud cover and precipitation, which directly modulates daytime maximum temperatures. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as the system’s arrival becomes clearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on September 24?
60-61°F 28%
58-59°F 27%
62-63°F 24%
56-57°F 15%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
11%
70°F or higher
7%
60-61°F 28%
58-59°F 27%
62-63°F 24%
56-57°F 15%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
11%
70°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Seattle on September 24 points to an overcast day with a frontal passage, yielding afternoon highs near 59–62 °F amid light northerly winds and a 60–90 % chance of showers. This represents a notable cool-down from the prior two days’ mid- to upper-60 °F readings and sits several degrees below the late-September climatological normal of roughly 68 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–63 °F bins reflects modest forecast spread in the timing and intensity of cloud cover and precipitation, which directly modulates daytime maximum temperatures. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as the system’s arrival becomes clearer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp