Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 24 point to a mostly sunny day with northeast winds and a high near 94°F, following several days of upper-90s readings under similar high-pressure patterns. This places the most likely maximum in the 94-95°F range, consistent with market-implied odds leading at 33 percent, though model runs show modest spread from afternoon cloud development or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 88°F underscore the current warm anomaly, while traders weigh official station measurements against urban heat influences when distinguishing adjacent bins such as 92-93°F versus 96-97°F. Updated model guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on September 24?
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 24%
90-91°F 20%
100-101°F 16%
87°F or below
8%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
7%
106°F or higher
7%
94-95°F 33%
92-93°F 24%
90-91°F 20%
100-101°F 16%
87°F or below
8%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
7%
106°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 24 point to a mostly sunny day with northeast winds and a high near 94°F, following several days of upper-90s readings under similar high-pressure patterns. This places the most likely maximum in the 94-95°F range, consistent with market-implied odds leading at 33 percent, though model runs show modest spread from afternoon cloud development or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 88°F underscore the current warm anomaly, while traders weigh official station measurements against urban heat influences when distinguishing adjacent bins such as 92-93°F versus 96-97°F. Updated model guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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