The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 23, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations showing a minimum of 71°F around 4:53 a.m. under clear skies and light winds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept boundary-layer temperatures elevated overnight despite the broader regional heat wave, consistent with climatological norms for coastal Los Angeles in late August where average lows hover near 65–70°F. Model guidance had converged on this range ahead of the date, with limited diurnal cooling due to high dew points. Resolution could shift only if subsequent quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific criteria alter the reported minimum by a degree, an infrequent occurrence once initial observations are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$2,266 KL.
$2,266 KL.
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$2,266 KL.
$2,266 KL.
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on August 23, 2026, aligns with official National Weather Service observations showing a minimum of 71°F around 4:53 a.m. under clear skies and light winds. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific kept boundary-layer temperatures elevated overnight despite the broader regional heat wave, consistent with climatological norms for coastal Los Angeles in late August where average lows hover near 65–70°F. Model guidance had converged on this range ahead of the date, with limited diurnal cooling due to high dew points. Resolution could shift only if subsequent quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific criteria alter the reported minimum by a degree, an infrequent occurrence once initial observations are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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