Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw on August 30, following showers on the 29th, which should promote radiational cooling after sunset and support minimum temperatures in the 13–15 °C range. Official guidance from sources aligned with GFS and ECMWF data shows early-morning lows near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight heat retention. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–14 °C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point recovery can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 14 °C, providing context for the narrow spread in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
11°C 40%
14°C 38%
16°C 29%
12°C 29%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
17%
11°C
40%
12°C
29%
13°C
24%
14°C
38%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
14%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
4%
11°C 40%
14°C 38%
16°C 29%
12°C 29%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
17%
11°C
40%
12°C
29%
13°C
24%
14°C
38%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
14%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly winds over Warsaw on August 30, following showers on the 29th, which should promote radiational cooling after sunset and support minimum temperatures in the 13–15 °C range. Official guidance from sources aligned with GFS and ECMWF data shows early-morning lows near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight heat retention. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–14 °C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point recovery can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Warsaw places typical overnight lows near 14 °C, providing context for the narrow spread in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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