Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on May 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 4?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$29,412 KL.
$29,412 KL.
May 4, 2026
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$29,412 KL.
$29,412 KL.
May 4, 2026
41°F or below
$3,386 KL.
No
42-43°F
$782 KL.
No
44-45°F
$419 KL.
No
46-47°F
$2,171 KL.
No
48-49°F
$842 KL.
No
50-51°F
$921 KL.
No
52-53°F
$1,727 KL.
No
54-55°F
$3,887 KL.
No
56-57°F
$4,943 KL.
No
58-59°F
$3,707 KL.
No
60°F or higher
$6,627 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,412Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,412Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 60°F or higher, anchored by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high of 73°F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the climatological average high of 67°F for the date, drawn from 1991–2020 normals, and current morning observations around 46°F at 7 a.m. showing typical diurnal warming under light southerly flows. Model ensembles from NOAA support sustained highs in the low 70s, with historical data indicating sub-60°F maxima occur less than 5% of the time in early May. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler air from isolated severe thunderstorms or a rapid model shift toward increased cloud cover, though fresh hourly updates from Denver International Airport will refine trajectories by afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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