Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on May 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 2?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$77,511 KL.
$77,511 KL.
May 2, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$77,511 KL.
$77,511 KL.
May 2, 2026
69°F or below
$11,965 KL.
No
70-71°F
$5,295 KL.
No
72-73°F
$4,606 KL.
No
74-75°F
$8,649 KL.
No
76-77°F
$6,957 KL.
Yes
78-79°F
$10,630 KL.
No
80-81°F
$7,415 KL.
No
82-83°F
$5,669 KL.
No
84-85°F
$3,544 KL.
No
86-87°F
$9,011 KL.
No
88°F or higher
$3,770 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$77,511Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$77,511Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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