Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lagos on April 29?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,810 KL.
$34,810 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,810 KL.
$34,810 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Nigeria's Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations confirm Lagos recorded a highest temperature of 33°C on April 29, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports showed peak readings at this level amid partly cloudy skies, slight dust haze, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms—typical for late April's pre-monsoon transition, when highs average 31–34°C under moderating sea breezes and rising humidity. Forecast ensembles from NiMet had clustered around 32–34°C, matching the realized data. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision from quality assurance or an overlooked inland station exceeding 33°C, though such discrepancies are rare in standardized 2-meter measurements. Final NiMet daily summary expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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