Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lagos on May 5?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,703 KL.
$70,703 KL.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,703 KL.
$70,703 KL.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp