India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 KL.
$78,791 KL.
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 KL.
$78,791 KL.
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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