Ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with recent observed highs of 43–45°C and IMD warnings for isolated heatwave days through late June, anchor trader focus on the 40–42°C range for Lucknow’s June 25 maximum. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by possible increases in cloud cover or early monsoon moisture ahead of the typical early-July onset, while climatological baselines place late-June averages near 39–40°C. Forecast spreads from sources like AccuWeather (around 39°C) versus higher estimates near 45°C highlight the key uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, updates from the India Meteorological Department’s next model runs will likely tighten the distribution around the current market-implied mode near 41°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 25?
39°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$61,275 KL.
$61,275 KL.
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$61,275 KL.
$61,275 KL.
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with recent observed highs of 43–45°C and IMD warnings for isolated heatwave days through late June, anchor trader focus on the 40–42°C range for Lucknow’s June 25 maximum. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by possible increases in cloud cover or early monsoon moisture ahead of the typical early-July onset, while climatological baselines place late-June averages near 39–40°C. Forecast spreads from sources like AccuWeather (around 39°C) versus higher estimates near 45°C highlight the key uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, updates from the India Meteorological Department’s next model runs will likely tighten the distribution around the current market-implied mode near 41°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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