India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 KL.
$27,628 KL.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 KL.
$27,628 KL.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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