Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 2, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data aligns with preliminary reports. This reflects mild early May conditions typical for Madrid, where historical averages hover around 20–22°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds suppressing stronger heating, consistent with AEMET's pre-event forecasts showing no heat anomalies or frontal passages. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs had converged on this range 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges would require an official data audit revealing sensor errors or alternative station validations exceeding 21°C, though such revisions are exceedingly rare post-verification. Traders await AEMET's daily bulletin for closure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 2?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$270,608 KL.
$270,608 KL.
May 2, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$270,608 KL.
$270,608 KL.
May 2, 2026
16°C or below
$6,339 KL.
No
17°C
$7,466 KL.
No
18°C
$34,732 KL.
No
19°C
$22,289 KL.
No
20°C
$15,226 KL.
No
21°C
$29,794 KL.
Yes
22°C
$36,678 KL.
No
23°C
$37,939 KL.
No
24°C
$30,642 KL.
No
25°C
$22,282 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$27,219 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 2, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data aligns with preliminary reports. This reflects mild early May conditions typical for Madrid, where historical averages hover around 20–22°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds suppressing stronger heating, consistent with AEMET's pre-event forecasts showing no heat anomalies or frontal passages. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs had converged on this range 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges would require an official data audit revealing sensor errors or alternative station validations exceeding 21°C, though such revisions are exceedingly rare post-verification. Traders await AEMET's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$270,608Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 2, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data aligns with preliminary reports. This reflects mild early May conditions typical for Madrid, where historical averages hover around 20–22°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds suppressing stronger heating, consistent with AEMET's pre-event forecasts showing no heat anomalies or frontal passages. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs had converged on this range 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges would require an official data audit revealing sensor errors or alternative station validations exceeding 21°C, though such revisions are exceedingly rare post-verification. Traders await AEMET's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$270,608Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 2, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data aligns with preliminary reports. This reflects mild early May conditions typical for Madrid, where historical averages hover around 20–22°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds suppressing stronger heating, consistent with AEMET's pre-event forecasts showing no heat anomalies or frontal passages. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs had converged on this range 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges would require an official data audit revealing sensor errors or alternative station validations exceeding 21°C, though such revisions are exceedingly rare post-verification. Traders await AEMET's daily bulletin for closure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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