Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Manila on June 2 stems from established climatological patterns, where PAGASA records show early-June daily maxima averaging 31–33°C under southwest monsoon conditions. Current official forecasts indicate highs near 32°C with limited day-to-day variability and no anomalous cooling signals in recent model runs. Historical data confirm that temperatures below 30°C are rare this season, supporting the near-certain market positioning. Only an unexpected strong cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain highly improbable based on observational baselines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on June 2?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,766 KL.
$39,766 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,766 KL.
$39,766 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 31, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Manila on June 2 stems from established climatological patterns, where PAGASA records show early-June daily maxima averaging 31–33°C under southwest monsoon conditions. Current official forecasts indicate highs near 32°C with limited day-to-day variability and no anomalous cooling signals in recent model runs. Historical data confirm that temperatures below 30°C are rare this season, supporting the near-certain market positioning. Only an unexpected strong cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain highly improbable based on observational baselines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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