Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 2?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$34,121 KL.
$34,121 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$34,121 KL.
$34,121 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
17°C or below
$2,640 KL.
No
18°C
$1,948 KL.
No
19°C
$3,321 KL.
No
20°C
$3,403 KL.
No
21°C
$3,412 KL.
No
22°C
$3,484 KL.
Yes
23°C
$5,038 KL.
No
24°C
$2,984 KL.
No
25°C
$4,374 KL.
No
26°C
$1,463 KL.
No
27°C or higher
$2,054 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,121Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$34,121Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters produces mild July maxima that historically average 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C. The onset of the rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that frequently limit peak heating, while variable steering patterns and model spread in short-range forecasts create genuine uncertainty over exact daily highs. Recent conditions show typical early-July moisture without anomalous warming, reinforcing trader consensus on near-normal outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs from official meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data refinements ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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