The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued this morning, projects Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport to reach 29-31°C today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting northern areas, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Morning observations confirm minima of 15-17°C with clear skies early, ideal for daytime heating under typical May climatology where averages hover near 26°C but current high-pressure patterns boost peaks. Global models align, showing minimal cloud interference before afternoon isolated showers (low 0.1-5 mm probability). Realistic challenges include unexpected heavy cloud cover or convective activity capping temps below 27°C, though SMN guidance deems this unlikely; monitor airport data and next update for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 5?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,736 KL.
$57,736 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,736 KL.
$57,736 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued this morning, projects Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport to reach 29-31°C today amid an ongoing heat wave affecting northern areas, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 27°C or higher. Morning observations confirm minima of 15-17°C with clear skies early, ideal for daytime heating under typical May climatology where averages hover near 26°C but current high-pressure patterns boost peaks. Global models align, showing minimal cloud interference before afternoon isolated showers (low 0.1-5 mm probability). Realistic challenges include unexpected heavy cloud cover or convective activity capping temps below 27°C, though SMN guidance deems this unlikely; monitor airport data and next update for shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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