Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on June 20?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 20?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,178 KL.
$45,178 KL.
Jun 20, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,178 KL.
$45,178 KL.
Jun 20, 2026
31°C or below
$412 KL.
No
32°C
$3,673 KL.
No
33°C
$9,635 KL.
No
34°C
$9,518 KL.
Yes
35°C
$9,318 KL.
No
36°C
$5,553 KL.
No
37°C
$4,242 KL.
No
38°C
$1,373 KL.
No
39°C
$571 KL.
No
40°C
$527 KL.
No
41°C or higher
$358 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,178Ngày kết thúc
Jun 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$45,178Ngày kết thúc
Jun 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including runs aligning with observed trends through mid-June 2026, cluster the expected maximum temperature in Milan around 33–35°C on June 20, directly supporting the market’s leading 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (28.5%) outcomes. Following an early-June heatwave that delivered peaks near 35–36°C across the Po Valley under strong subtropical ridging, current guidance indicates moderating high pressure with slightly increased moisture and possible afternoon convection, limiting further intensification. Milan’s climatological June average high of 26–28°C provides baseline context, yet persistent above-average 500 hPa heights and urban heat retention sustain the elevated range. Updated model cycles and observational verification over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of the June 20 resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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