Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on April 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 29?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 KL.
$202,558 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 KL.
$202,558 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
53°F or below
$11,704 KL.
No
54-55°F
$19,165 KL.
No
56-57°F
$11,268 KL.
No
58-59°F
$54,874 KL.
No
60-61°F
$33,495 KL.
Yes
62-63°F
$19,029 KL.
No
64-65°F
$21,591 KL.
No
66-67°F
$9,039 KL.
No
68-69°F
$6,904 KL.
No
70-71°F
$6,730 KL.
No
72°F or higher
$8,758 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$202,558Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$202,558Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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