Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 31?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 KL.
$101,127 KL.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 KL.
$101,127 KL.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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