Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 7?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$178,572 KL.
$178,572 KL.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$178,572 KL.
$178,572 KL.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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