Official short-range forecasts from Météo-France and European models converge on a daily maximum of 20°C for Paris on June 5 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly winds that limit afternoon warming. This positions the 20°C outcome at near-certain market-implied odds, consistent with observed conditions and typical early-June climatology where highs average 22–23°C but cool Atlantic troughs can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Minor model spread remains possible within the standard ±1–2°C uncertainty band at 24-hour range; a delayed clearing trend or localized urban heat effect could push the verified high to 21°C or 19°C, though current consensus and resolution criteria tied to official station data make such shifts unlikely before close of trading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on June 5?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$112,254 KL.
$112,254 KL.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$112,254 KL.
$112,254 KL.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official short-range forecasts from Météo-France and European models converge on a daily maximum of 20°C for Paris on June 5 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly winds that limit afternoon warming. This positions the 20°C outcome at near-certain market-implied odds, consistent with observed conditions and typical early-June climatology where highs average 22–23°C but cool Atlantic troughs can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Minor model spread remains possible within the standard ±1–2°C uncertainty band at 24-hour range; a delayed clearing trend or localized urban heat effect could push the verified high to 21°C or 19°C, though current consensus and resolution criteria tied to official station data make such shifts unlikely before close of trading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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