**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 KL.
$157,939 KL.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 KL.
$157,939 KL.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
$4,261 KL.
No
15°C
$5,655 KL.
No
16°C
$18,514 KL.
No
17°C
$22,341 KL.
No
18°C
$24,534 KL.
Yes
19°C
$22,408 KL.
No
20°C
$26,222 KL.
No
21°C
$15,545 KL.
No
22°C
$8,619 KL.
No
23°C
$4,237 KL.
No
24°C or higher
$5,602 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$157,939Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$157,939Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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