Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$119,524 KL.
$119,524 KL.
May 6, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$119,524 KL.
$119,524 KL.
May 6, 2026
22°C or below
$32,001 KL.
No
23°C
$9,881 KL.
No
24°C
$39,688 KL.
No
25°C
$19,808 KL.
Yes
26°C
$7,123 KL.
No
27°C
$4,121 KL.
No
28°C
$2,225 KL.
No
29°C
$2,027 KL.
No
30°C
$1,562 KL.
No
31°C
$519 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$570 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,524Ngày kết thúc
May 6, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$119,524Ngày kết thúc
May 6, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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