Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 2?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,354 KL.
$38,354 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,354 KL.
$38,354 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
15°C or below
$275 KL.
No
16°C
$731 KL.
No
17°C
$2,768 KL.
No
18°C
$3,017 KL.
No
19°C
$7,050 KL.
No
20°C
$7,398 KL.
Yes
21°C
$4,708 KL.
No
22°C
$5,509 KL.
No
23°C
$4,547 KL.
No
24°C
$1,922 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$429 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,354Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$38,354Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
May 31, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and INMET data confirm a daily maximum of exactly 20°C on June 2, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for early Southern Hemisphere winter, featuring stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and limited diurnal warming that kept highs near seasonal averages around 20–22°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed tight consensus on this range with minimal moisture or frontal activity to alter temperatures. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data revisions or alternative station readings, though historical resolution patterns indicate low likelihood once official METAR reports finalize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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