Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 KL.
$96,210 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 KL.
$96,210 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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