Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 KL.
$157,678 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 KL.
$157,678 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$3,048 KL.
No
26°C
$15,018 KL.
No
27°C
$14,593 KL.
No
28°C
$7,065 KL.
No
29°C
$14,133 KL.
No
30°C
$12,771 KL.
No
31°C
$14,587 KL.
No
32°C
$14,344 KL.
No
33°C
$18,177 KL.
No
34°C
$26,651 KL.
Yes
35°C or higher
$17,292 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$157,678Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$157,678Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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