Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$186,992 KL.
$186,992 KL.
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$186,992 KL.
$186,992 KL.
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
$3,711 KL.
No
17°C
$4,979 KL.
No
18°C
$3,813 KL.
No
19°C
$2,945 KL.
No
20°C
$10,176 KL.
No
21°C
$15,303 KL.
No
22°C
$10,793 KL.
No
23°C
$34,741 KL.
Yes
24°C
$47,959 KL.
No
25°C
$26,759 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$25,813 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Khối lượng
$186,992Ngày kết thúc
May 3, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$186,992Ngày kết thúc
May 3, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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