Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on July 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,289 KL.
$48,289 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,289 KL.
$48,289 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
31°C or below
$2,782 KL.
No
32°C
$3,555 KL.
No
33°C
$4,908 KL.
No
34°C
$8,527 KL.
Yes
35°C
$5,558 KL.
No
36°C
$4,653 KL.
No
37°C
$2,571 KL.
No
38°C
$8,095 KL.
No
39°C
$1,955 KL.
No
40°C
$2,056 KL.
No
41°C or higher
$3,631 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$48,289Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$48,289Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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