Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 7?
18°C or higher 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$26,811 KL.
$26,811 KL.
May 7, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
Yes
18°C or higher 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$26,811 KL.
$26,811 KL.
May 7, 2026
8°C or below
$590 KL.
No
9°C
$738 KL.
No
10°C
$552 KL.
No
11°C
$345 KL.
No
12°C
$595 KL.
No
13°C
$583 KL.
No
14°C
$1,994 KL.
No
15°C
$4,745 KL.
No
16°C
$4,906 KL.
No
17°C
$3,767 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$7,997 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,811Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$26,811Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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